NY Sports Dog: Is Adding Ollie Enough?

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Is Adding Ollie Enough?

Now that Derek Lowe has taken the bucks to sign with the Braves, the Mets are expected to make an even bigger full court press for Oliver Perez.

Perez, a lefthander with stunning stuff that confounds even the best hitters, is in Omar Minaya's scope and locked in as Priority Numero Uno.

The numbers will surely have to include a fourth year, and the overall tag will be in the $44-$48M range.

While this is a move Mets fans insist has to happen for the team to contend in 2009, the question begs: is it enough?

With Ollie in the fold the Mets rotation will look like this:

Johan Santana, LHP, 16-7, 2.53, 206 K, 1.15 WHIP
John Maine, RHP, 10-8, 4.18 ERA, 122 K, 1.35 WHIP
Oliver Perez, LHP, 10-7, 4.22 ERA, 180 K, 1.40 WHIP
Mike Pelfrey, RHP, 13-11, 3.72, 110 K, 1.36 WHIP
Tim Redding, RHP, 10-11, 4.95 ERA, 120 K, 1.43 WHIP
It's not a "bad" rotation, but is it truly a good one?

It features a dominant Ace at the head of the ship and tons of potential in the 2-4 slots, but it also features a young pitcher coming off injury in the #2 slot, a very young pitcher in the #4 slot who found himself after struggling mightily, and a #5 starter with a career ERA+ of 89.

Then again, it also looks a heck of a lot like last year's rotation with a more dependable #5 starter.

With the improvements to the bullpen, and a healthy year from all five starters, those 10, 13 and 16 win seasons could improve by 2 to 4 games per pitcher.

And the Mets would have themselves one heck of a starting rotation.Reblog this post [with Zemanta]


Sean said...

I think it is more than enough. The Mets problem hasn't been starting pitching. Perez has shown he has electric stuff and he pitches very well in big games (he's pitched some gems against Philly). Of course, we will have to sacrifice the game in the middle of June where Perez can't go 2 innings, but I'll live with that.

A big X factor is the fact that John Maine will be healthy, we missed him big time last year.

I may be in the minority, but I'd bring back Pedro, he'd be a much more effective 5th starter than Redding IMO.

Dave Singer said...


Nice thoughts.

I personally agree with you on Pedro; that said, are we speaking with our hearts or our heads?

One consideration is that we haven't heard a peep about Pedro's velocity this entire off-season--that is worrisome.


Sean said...


Part of it is my heart, I'm a huge Pedro fan. But with that said, I still think Pedro will be more effective than Tim Redding. Tim Redding's second half was putrid. Pedro wants to be here, he is a positive in the club house, and I bet he still has some nice outings in him,

Dave Singer said...

We really do think alike on this issue.

All in all I've been very impressed with Redding--he really wants to be here--dream come true.

His second half was downright brutal--13 HRs in his last 51 innings pitched--then again, he did have off-season surgery, so who knows?

I say bring Pedro in with some incentive laden deal and let's see what he really has left in that arm of his.

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