NY Sports Dog: Mets Season Projections and the Playoffs

Monday, June 2, 2008

Mets Season Projections and the Playoffs

The Mets are currently 28-27 through the first 55 games of the year. So with 107 games remaining, here is what the Mets will need to accomplish to win--

100 Games: 72-35 .673 winning % from here on out, .617 overall result
95 Games: 67-40 .626 winning % from here on out, .586 overall result
90 Games: 62-45 .579 winning % from here on out, .555 overall result

So what will it take to make the playoffs?

In 2007, the Phillies won the NL East with an 89-63 mark, .549 win %
In 2006, the Mets won the NL East with a 97-65 mark, .599 win %
In 2005, the Braves won the NL East with a 90-72 mark, .556 win %

Looking at those last three years we can see that 95 wins is a very good number, and 90 will be competitive to contend for the division crown.

Both win totals are well within the Mets potential.

And what about the Wild card?

2007: Rockies 90-73
2006: Dodgers 88-74
2005: Astros 89-73

Bottom line is the Mets, despite all of their early season woes, are well poised to make a run at it once again this year.

Yes it's early, but for all of the crestfallen who counted the team out a week ago, remember that in the end, baseball is all about numbers.

Win at a .600 clip the rest of the year and the chips will fall into place nicely for a 90+ win season.

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